Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
1.2 Pkt. (24h)PolitikUS-PolitikWahl3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocrat 94.2%+1.2pt
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+1.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert12. Jan. 26, 21:24 UTC31. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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MetaculusRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- The 120th Congress will be sworn in in early January 2027 following the November 3, 2026 House elections.
- The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of seats in the House of Representatives when the 120th Congress convenes. 218 seats are needed for a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by official House records at house.gov.
- Republicans currently hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
- Democrats need to gain a net of three districts to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two districts to retain a majority.
