Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 53.5%-0.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
374,2 €
Liquidität
6409,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+16.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 19:27 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
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PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party, between the the named outcome and the the named outcome, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- If the the named outcome and the the named outcome hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Democratic Party liegt bei 56%. Die Kurse liegen rund 3 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic Party 56% · 2 Plattformen · 3 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 58%
