KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democratic Party 58.3%-1.0ptFührend unter 3 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
211,7 €
Liquidität
31.382,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
17. März 26, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:state governments
- For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
- If neither party holds more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Democratic Party liegt bei 56%. Die Kurse liegen rund 2 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Democratic Party 56% · 2 Plattformen · 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 55%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- Kalshi bewertet Democratic Party mit 58% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? entschieden?
- Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.