Control of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20265T
FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 89%
Nein 89%Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
477,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
19
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
MetaculusWhen will the AP call control of the US House after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsControl of the US Senate after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWill Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
On November 3rd, 2026, all 435 seats from the US House of Representatives will be in dispute.
- The elected representatives will start their term in the 120th United States Congress in January 2027.
- If at least 218 of the sitting representatives in the 120th United States Congress are from the same party, such party shall be considered the winning outcome of this market.
- If no party reaches 218 representatives, this market may be canceled.
- For the sake of this market, a representative is considered to be from a specific party when: A) they are elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with such party, or B) they have publicly stated an intention to caucus with such party.
- Despite representatives only taking office in January 2027, Futuur may decide to resolve this market at any point between November 3rd, 2026 and January 2027 — or later, if needed — when it considers the official election results, concession speeches and eventual legal actions taken by parties have finally made clear what party (if any) will control the House of Representatives in the 120th US Congress.
