Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
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Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
MetaculusControl of the US House of Representatives after the 2026 Elections
FutuurWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
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Resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections.
- This can include independent candidates who caucus with the Democrats (in the same way that the party's Senate majority relies on independent senators).
- It doesn't matter if a Democrat actually becomes Speaker, only who wins more than half the seats in the election.
