Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet29. Jan. 23, 03:36 UTC1. Feb. 38, 08:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_2038_problem
- If at least 1 million people in the US experience some noticeable and significant disruption as a direct result of Y2k38, this resolves YES.
- The impact must be caused by the bug itself, not people preparing for or freaking out about the possibility.
- As an exception: If there's some highly disruptive last-minute "preparation" like "we're shutting down this entire system on December 30th because we didn't prepare it in time", I'll count that as having been caused by the bug.
- Bugs that occur more than a few days before or after January 19th do still count.
- The bug doesn't have to take place in the US, just the impact.
Offene Märkte
Russia / Ukraine
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75.8%
- New People (NL)-2.0pt20.2%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 267.694,7 €
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 528.968 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 55.425,7 €
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December+1.0pt8%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- No meeting before 2027+1.5pt93.1%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
- Turkey-0.4pt1%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China+1.0pt54.5%
- No meeting by December 3134.6%
- Gulf country+2.1pt3%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No+2.5pt69.3%
- Yes-2.5pt30.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 369.368,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 34.156,5 €
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- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States? entschieden?
- Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States? soll am 1. Februar 2038 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_2038_problem