Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 59.5% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy? entschieden?

Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy? soll am 5. März 2099 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No96.5%
• Yes3.5%

Gesamtvolumen

3,4 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

48.352,2 €

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+1.0pt92.1%
• Yes-1.0pt7.9%

Gesamtvolumen

2,1 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

13.894,6 €

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.3%98.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

• Above 3.7%+2.0pt96%
• Above 3.8%-11.0pt92%
• Above 3.9%-5.0pt82.5%

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+4.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%81.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt70%

KALSHI

Mexico unemployment rate in October

• Above 2.6%+18.0pt60.5%
• Above 2.7%+1.0pt36%
• Above 2.8%-17.0pt

• CPI in October
• Recession in 2027?
• October Unemployment Rate
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• CPI in December
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
• CPI YoY in November
• Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
• US economic state at the end of 2026?
• Unemployment in October