Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
One-OffWissenschaftSociety & Culture3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 90.2%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet22. Okt. 22, 21:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a tsunami causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5)
Manifold Markets9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiHighest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
Polymarket10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 230.755,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 77.061 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 109.481,6 €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2905,6 €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027? entschieden?
- Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.