Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.6%
Prognostiker
69
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 24, 14:14 UTC31. Dez. 26, 16:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Laura Loomer’s terrorist attack prediction be correct?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple win its case against OpenAI?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Criteria for Resolution:
- Terrorist Operation: There must be an organized terrorist operation explicitly aimed at OpenAI.
- Confirmation of Intent:
- - The intent to target OpenAI must be explicitly stated by the terrorists responsible for the attack.
- - This intent can be confirmed through official statements, government documents, or credible news reports.
- Nature of the Operation:
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027? entschieden?
- Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Criteria for Resolution: