Before 2029
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 13:55 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Ja · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Ja 55.5%
Ja 55.5%Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
5,8 €
Open Interest
208,1 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
JaSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert2. Sept. 26, 03:00 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Ja
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
FTC antitrust case against Meta revived on appeal?
KalshiWill there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following lawsuits will prevail against OpenAI?
Manifold MarketsWill the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman win a defamation case against Gary Marcus before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
Abwicklung über:U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California
- For this market, the case is Apple Inc. v. Chang Liu, Tang Yew Tan, OpenAI Foundation f/k/a OpenAI, Inc., OpenAI Group PBC, and io Products, LLC f/k/a io Products, Inc., U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California No. 5:26-cv-07078-EJD. Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy: Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if it receives a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Apple Inc.). Attorney's fees and costs are excluded. Substantive Legal Victory (Second Priority): If no net monetary advantage exists, Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if it prevails on claims seeking the largest dollar amount of relief in its original pleadings, or if relief amounts are equal or unclear, on the greater number of primary causes of action. Case Termination Advantage (Third Priority): If the case terminates without substantive judgment, Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if opposing parties voluntarily dismiss all claims against Apple Inc. with prejudice. All other termination scenarios result in no superior outcome for any party. Settlements: Apple Inc. achieves the superior outcome if the parties settle with a disclosed net payment to Apple Inc. Apple Inc. does not achieve the superior outcome if the parties settle with a disclosed net payment from Apple Inc. to opposing parties. No party achieves a superior outcome if the parties settle with mutual releases and no disclosed payment direction, or if settlement terms are sealed and no Source Agency reports payment direction within seven days of the settlement announcement. Key exclusions: Applies only to trial-level resolution and specifically excludes all appeals processes. Procedural victories alone do not constitute superior outcomes. A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or expedited-discovery order is not a final trial-level resolution. A denial, partial ruling, or dismissal that leaves claims pending on a motion to dismiss is not final; a final dismissal terminating the entire trial-level action is evaluated under the hierarchy above.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Yes
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- No
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.