Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91%
Prognostiker
50
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet28. Aug. 23, 08:17 UTC31. Dez. 28, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
Manifold MarketsWill AGI cause US nominal GDP to at least double between 2025 to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhen AI has achieved AGI, will U.S. nominal GDP at least double within 2 years?
Manifold Markets2026 World GDP Growth
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRegeln
We will resolve it at the closing time to "No" if there's no year with growth over 14% or insufficient growth for the GDP to have doubled.
- Otherwise, I will have to wait for official statistics to resolve this.
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 97,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,8 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 702.460,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 91.038,4 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 399.989,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34.473,1 €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.300,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4885,8 €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the World's GDP double in 5 years??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? entschieden?
- Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the World's GDP double in 5 years? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: We will resolve it at the closing time to "No" if there's no year with growth over 14% or insufficient growth for the GDP to have doubled.