PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
3.0% 26.1%+0.6ptFührend unter 9 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1546,4 €
Liquidität
3390,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.2 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+13.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
23. Jan. 26, 16:2015. Jan. 27, 0:00
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
- Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
- If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
- If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Offene Märkte
Economy
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs97%
- Above 450,000 jobs-2.0pt93%
- Above 452,500 jobs+1.0pt84%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 51.196,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.404,5 €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-9.0pt49.5%
- 0.4-0.7%-7.0pt31.6%
- 1.2-1.5%-1.3pt9.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 120.902,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6825,2 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+1.0pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 218.539,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5307,9 €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000-3.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 117.387,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5148,6 €
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- Recession this year?
- US economic state at the end of 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 2026 World GDP Growth?
- Polymarket bewertet 3.0% mit 26% (Stand: 26. August 2026).
- Wann wird 2026 World GDP Growth entschieden?
- 2026 World GDP Growth soll am 15. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 2026 World GDP Growth abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.