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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet24. Dez. 24, 02:36 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill USA “control” Venezuela by year's end?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
PolymarketWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
If the US clearly has territorial sovereignty, whether de facto or de jure, over the entirety of the island of Greenland sometime before January 1, 2027, this market resolves YES, otherwise this market resolves NO on 1/1/27.
- If the US enters into a Compact of Free Association with Greenland, Greenland is administered under an independent Greenlandic administration, Greenland is administered by both the US and Denmark, the US gains mineral/exploration rights but not political control, or if only a part of Greenland is subject to the US (ex.
- Pituffik Space Base right now, future military bases), this market resolves NO.
- If Greenland is administered as a semi-autonomous region but can still be ultimately subject to the US federal government, ex.
- US tribal lands, this market resolves YES.
- If the US temporarily leases the entire island of Greenland and has control over the island and its affairs sometime before 2026, this market still resolves YES even if that control expired.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026? entschieden?
- Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the US clearly has territorial sovereignty, whether de facto or de jure, over the entirety of the island of Greenland sometime before January 1, 2027, this market resolves YES, otherwise this market resolves NO on 1/1/27.