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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.7%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet24. Dez. 24, 02:36 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will USA “control” Venezuela by year's end?
Manifold MarketsIf U.S. buys Greenland by EOY, will it be purchased for $500B-$700B?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketRegeln
If the US clearly has territorial sovereignty, whether de facto or de jure, over the entirety of the island of Greenland sometime before January 1, 2027, this market resolves YES, otherwise this market resolves NO on 1/1/27.
- If the US enters into a Compact of Free Association with Greenland, Greenland is administered under an independent Greenlandic administration, Greenland is administered by both the US and Denmark, the US gains mineral/exploration rights but not political control, or if only a part of Greenland is subject to the US (ex.
- Pituffik Space Base right now, future military bases), this market resolves NO.
- If Greenland is administered as a semi-autonomous region but can still be ultimately subject to the US federal government, ex.
- US tribal lands, this market resolves YES.
- If the US temporarily leases the entire island of Greenland and has control over the island and its affairs sometime before 2026, this market still resolves YES even if that control expired.
