FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 92%
Nein 92%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
822,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
11
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Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the USA control Greenland by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?
Manifold MarketsUS in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether the United States will exercise sovereign control over the majority (at least 50%) of Greenland's territory at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, “control” means formal transfer of sovereignty or governance authority over Greenland to the United States.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official treaties, legislation, or executive actions by the U.S. and Danish/Greenlandic authorities confirming such a transfer.
- If Greenland is formally placed under U.S. sovereign control during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Military presence, basing agreements, or economic influence without sovereignty transfer will not count.
