Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99.3% (Stand: 27. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025? entschieden?

Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee declares, by the end of 2026, US Eastern Time, that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 or 2025.

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Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes-2.0pt2.5%

Gesamtvolumen

3,4 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

36.502 €

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.3%98.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

• Above 3.7%+2.0pt96%
• Above 3.8%-8.0pt92.5%
• Above 3.9%+1.0pt87.5%

KALSHI

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

• No64%
• Yes+3.0pt36%

Gesamtvolumen

31.882,4 €

24h-Volumen

8678,7 €

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+5.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%+1.0pt85.5%
• Above 0.1%70.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%96%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• Recession in 2027?
• October Unemployment Rate
• CPI in October
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
• CPI in December
• CPI YoY in November
• Core CPI in November
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• US recession by end of 2026?