US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)?

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98.7% (Stand: 28. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) entschieden?

US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.

Wie wird US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER) abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if by the end of 2026, NBER determines that the US entered a recession at any point in 2024 (in other words, if they announce a business cycle peak occurred during 2024).

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

KALSHI

Russia unemployment rate in September

• Above 2.0%+10.0pt69.5%
• Above 1.9%77.5%
• Above 2.1%+9.0pt78%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

74.520,7 €

24h-Volumen

64.049,3 €

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%75.5%
• Above 0.2%+5.0pt44.5%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

• Above 1.0%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.5%99.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

• Above 3.7%99%
• Above 3.8%98.5%
• Above 3.9%97.5%

KALSHI

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

• No63%
• Yes37%

Gesamtvolumen

34.102,4 €

24h-Volumen

10.190,3 €

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%-2.0pt89.5%

• CPI YoY in November
• Recession in 2027?
• US recession by end of 2026?
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
• US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• CPI in November
• How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
• US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
• Core CPI in November
• October Unemployment Rate