Will the next “public health emergency of int’l concern” be preceded by a matching simulation?
One-OffGesundheit & Medizin4JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92%
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9
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Veraltet2. Sept. 22, 21:22 UTC10. Jan. 31, 05:59 UTC
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Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiIf the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1, will they declare an H5N1 pandemic within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare a global health emergency not directly based on epidemic concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsPlague declared public health emergency by which date?
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Anything as coincidental as these will count for a 100% resolution, while generic “pandemic preparedness” without similar timing/virus-type settles close to 0%.
- https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/11/06/event-201-health-security/
- https://nypost.com/2022/05/28/monkeypox-simulation-in-2021-predicted-current-outbreak/amp/