Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76.7% (Stand: 6. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory? entschieden?

Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory? soll am 2. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Consensus of reliable sources will be used to check if an outbreak qualifies as a pandemic.

Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?

One-OffGesundheit & Medizin Wissenschaft Geopolitik

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 76.7%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden

Veraltet

24. Jan. 24, 12:31 UTC2. Jan. 50, 07:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

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New pandemic in 2026?

Polymarket

Pandemic in 2026?

Kalshi

Regeln

Consensus of reliable sources will be used to check if an outbreak qualifies as a pandemic.

Resolves YES or NO based on the resolution of a market that is similar in principle to Isaac's lab leak market.
Once a pandemic is declared, I will decide which market this question should be a mirror of.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?

Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?

Offene Märkte

New pandemic in 2026?

Pandemic in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Plague pandemic in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?

Häufige Fragen

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Offene Märkte

New pandemic in 2026?

Pandemic in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Plague pandemic in 2026?

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?