Aktuelle Community-Prognose
AI lab 97.1%+16.6pt
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63
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multiple choice
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+16.6 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
21. Dez. 25, 05:01 UTC31. Dez. 99, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.
- But which vibe will win credit in the public eye?
- It's Google DeepMind, that's an the named outcome.
- If it's Terrence Tao using GPT-6, that's a the named outcome.
- If it's David Budden using Claude, that's an the named outcome.
- If the people involved are professors at a university, that's probably a the named outcome.
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department??
- Manifold Markets bewertet AI lab mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? entschieden?
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? soll am 31. Dezember 2099 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.