Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 51.1%
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet12. Jan. 24, 22:52 UTC2. Jan. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegeln
EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs
- The Millennium Prize Problems are seven famous open problems in math, all listed together in 2000.
- One was solved; as of 2024, six remain.
- Will the next one be solved by an amateur? This market resolves YES if the very next problem to be solved is solved by an amateur, and NO otherwise.
- The close date will be extended as needed.
- For the purpose of this market: