Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact be in effect for the 2028 presidential election?
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If the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact comes into effect before 2029, will the Supreme Court block it?
Manifold MarketsHow much progress will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact make by the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by July 2028?
PredictItWill the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact go into effect by the 2032 election?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich states will join the National Popular Vote Compact?
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Resolves YES if the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact governs how its member states appoint their presidential electors for the November 7, 2028 election: its members together hold at least 270 electoral votes and the compact is in effect for that election under its own terms.
- NO otherwise, including if a court stops it from applying before electors are appointed.
