Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026?
GeopolitikOne-OffUnterhaltungRussia / Ukraine2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet18. Juli 26, 16:24 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of the following papacy-related events will occur first?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following 10 events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order?
Manifold MarketsWhen in 2026 will US federal government present a new narrative, with documentation, regarding UAP/UFO events?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegeln
This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met:
- On 12 August 2026, the Russia–Ukraine war officially ends through a peace agreement signed in Kharkiv.
- By 1 December 2026, Russia is replaced by a newly established Eurasian Union formed together with post-Soviet states.
- Relations between the United States and the new Eurasian Union have measurably improved compared with earlier in 2026.
- On 1 December 2026, the final broadcast in Azerbaijan is the film Stalin's Head.
- On the same day in Russia, private television channels broadcast Tri Bogatyry i Morskoy Tsar, children's channels broadcast episode 72 of Skazochny Patrol, and Russia's Patriotic March is played.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt99%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 860.582 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 326.023,6 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+2.0pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt4%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.7pt97%
- September 25+2.0pt88%
- September 23+7.0pt76%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? entschieden?
- Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? soll am 30. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the following events all occur by December 1, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This forecast will resolve YES only if all of the following conditions are met: