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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet11. Aug. 26, 14:29 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhich is first in 2026: Starship refueling, New Glenn RTF, or Neutron?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the first orbital launch attempt of Rocket Lab's Neutron rocket successfully reaches its target orbit.
- This market will resolve to NO if the first launch attempt fails to reach orbit (e.g., due to an explosion, a failure of the first or second stage, or any other anomaly that prevents the vehicle/payload from achieving a stable orbit).
- Key details and edge cases:
- Definition of Success: Success is defined as the rocket's upper stage successfully achieving orbit, or deploying its payload (or a simulated test mass) into the planned target orbit, as officially announced by Rocket Lab, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), or independent satellite tracking databases (e.g., Jonathan's Space Report or Space-Track.org).
- Booster Recovery: The recovery, landing, or reusable splashdown attempt of the first-stage booster is not required for a "YES" resolution, unless Rocket Lab defines the entire mission as a failure solely due to a landing anomaly.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ? entschieden?
- Will the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria