Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.1%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet17. Apr. 23, 07:32 UTC31. Dez. 29, 16:01 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWhat payloads will the first paid Rocket Lab Neutron launch carry?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiRegeln
This question is essentially designed to capture 'will Neutron be succesful?
- Any Neutron that takes off (no launch tower) will count as a flight (I am not too concerned that there could be 50 failures!)
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/launch/neutron/