Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 12:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Starship 45.7%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Starship 45.7%Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 25, 23:48 UTC31. Dez. 32, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiWill a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ?
Manifold MarketsWill Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Market resolves once one of these launches with humans on board.
- Launch doesn't have to be successful.
- Launch doesn't have to be orbital (point-to-point counts).
- Launch does have to be the full stack (only second stage of Starship doesn't count)