Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Yes (99%)
Entschieden: 10.10.2026, 19:37
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.10.2026, 11:31 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes99%
No1%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Starship Ship 42 be the first to fly to orbit and be caught by the tower?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship land on legs on Earth the first time it's recovered from orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill a full ship-to-ship cryogenic propellant transfer in orbit be achieved by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Chinese navy or coast guard ship sink a Filipino navy or coast guard ship before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
It's fine if it's in many pieces.
- If it gets scuttled or sinks for other reasons this resolves No. If only parts are recovered to shore, let's say that a major part is enough.
- I'm imagining either the full nosecone, or the full ship without the nosecone.
- Just the engine section is not enough.
- (I'm open to further resolution suggestions!)
