Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Moonshot 38.2%+0.5ptFührend unter 16 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
17,2 €
Liquidität
7721,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-12.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
13. Aug. 26, 00:01 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketWhich AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI lab consult a theologian for alignment research in 2026?
Manifold MarketsSOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.179,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.731,4 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October??
- Polymarket bewertet Moonshot mit 38% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October? entschieden?
- Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.