Will SpaceX launch a rocket from Louisiana by December 31, 2028?
PolitikOne-OffRaumfahrtTechnikGeopolitikNaher OstenEuropa2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 54 Minuten
Verzogert26. Aug. 26, 16:05 UTC31. Dez. 28, 17:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
SpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurWhen will SpaceX launch Starship Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets(Musk Predicition) Will SpaceX Launch Spacebound Rockets every hour within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolves YES if a SpaceX rocket lifts off from the announced Vermilion Parish, Louisiana launch facility by 11:59 PM Central Time on December 31, 2028.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Static-fire tests, hops that are not licensed as launches, and launches from other SpaceX sites do not count.
- The mission's later outcome does not matter.
- Source: Louisiana Economic Development.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
