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Daten vom 25.10.2026, 08:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2029 17.9%Führend unter 13 Optionen
2029 17.9%Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet16. Sept. 23, 15:03 UTC1. Jan. 36, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will SpaceX launch Starship Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX launch 2 starships within 24 hours?
Manifold MarketsHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRegeln
First year where (number of Starship launches that year) > (number of Falcon 9 launches that year).
- Any launch that clears the pad counts as a launch.
- Suborbital launches count.
- Falcon Heavy doesn't count towards the Falcon 9 number.
- If either rocket is renamed but is still obviously the same rocket, it still counts towards its previous name.
- If either rocket is redesigned but keeps the same name, it still counts.
