Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 94%
Nein 94%Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
259,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
6
Kommentare
1
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
This market aims to predict whether SpaceX will launch at least one Starship spacecraft with a human crew to Mars by December 31, 2028.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the referred date, the manned mission is effectively launched towards Mars and successfully leaves the orbit of the Earth, regardless of whether or not it successfully reaches the orbit of Mars and lands on the planet's surface.
- This market may resolve to "No" before the end of 2028 if SpaceX officially announces that it will NOT launch such a mission to Mars by the referred date.
