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Daten vom 25.10.2026, 16:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2032 92.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet5. Aug. 26, 08:15 UTC31. Dez. 35, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsBrazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?
Manifold MarketsWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRegeln
On the Q2 2026 SpaceX earnings call, Elon said that they aim to launch once per day in 2027, possibly more.
- This market asks a weaker question: when will they launch Starship twice within a 24 hour time period? This can be from different launch sites and with different Starships and different types of Starships.
- Since the launch sites could be in different time zones, local time of the second launch at the second launch site will be used for resolution.
