Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.8%
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet1. März 25, 09:10 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurHow many Starships will launch before a Starship lands on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsStarship to Mars Multi-choice Matrix
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX launch Dragon CRS-35
KalshiSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurRegeln
SpaceX has announced plans to launch five uncrewed Starships to Mars during the 2026 Earth-Mars transfer window.
- This window represents the optimal time for launches between Earth and Mars when the planets are properly aligned, requiring less fuel and time for the journey.
- Elon Musk has publicly stated this goal as part of SpaceX's broader Mars colonization program.
- The Starship is SpaceX's next-generation fully reusable spacecraft designed for missions to the Moon, Mars, and beyond.
- It consists of the Starship spacecraft (upper stage) and the Super Heavy booster (first stage).
- Resolution Criteria
Offene Märkte
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 182.343,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: SpaceX has announced plans to launch five uncrewed Starships to Mars during the 2026 Earth-Mars transfer window.