Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nov 16 to Nov 30, 2026 50.7%+3.7ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+12.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet8. Okt. 26, 22:37 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch an uncrewed mission to Mars by the end of 2026?
FutuurStarship Flight 15: what happens to the ship? (first tower catch attempt, by Nov 30)
Manifold MarketsWill the Super Heavy booster explode during Starship Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to the bucket containing the liftoff date (UTC) of SpaceX's Starship Flight 15 (the 15th integrated Starship/Super Heavy test flight, the 4th Starship V3 flight).
- Source: SpaceX's official launch page / webcast (spacex.com/launches), cross-checked against Wikipedia's "List of Starship launches".
- Liftoff is what counts; a scrub, static fire, or wet dress rehearsal does not.
- the named outcome
