Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
InflationOne-OffWirtschaft23TManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 65.8%
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Veraltet30. Juni 26, 00:21 UTC2. Okt. 26, 12:25 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for September 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.
- Use the headline establishment-survey change in total nonfarm payroll employment, seasonally adjusted.
- A value of +150,000 or higher resolves YES.
- A value of +149,000 or lower resolves NO.
- Negative values resolve NO.
- Do not use the unemployment rate, household-survey employment, labor-force participation, ADP, initial claims, JOLTS, average hourly earnings, private-payrolls-only, sector payrolls, state payrolls, forecast consensus, or later revisions unless BLS corrects the initial September 2026 release before resolution.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.705,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77.923 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,9 €
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- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? entschieden?
- Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Employment Situation release for September 2026 reports that total nonfarm payroll employment increased by at least 150,000 jobs.