PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitOctober Meeting 43%+4.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3,2 €
Liquidität
68.013,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.8% / 0.9%
Spread
12.5%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
31. März 26, 21:3929. Okt. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
October Meeting43%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Next Fed rate hike?
6.0%6Mon
-6.0%49%
2%
+3.0%70%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
60 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen13.617,5 €
24h-Volumen184,6 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
- Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
- Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.