Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
$7.000+ 45%-7.5ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
23,1 €
Liquidität
1009,5 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
23.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
-9.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
3. Apr. 26, 15:13 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed decision in September?
Manifold MarketsWill the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
- If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
- The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für $7.000+ liegt bei 45%. Die Kurse liegen rund 9 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz $7.000+ 45% · 2 Plattformen · 9 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.490,3 €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 44,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will ground beef hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet $7.000+ mit 45% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? entschieden?
- Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Wo wird Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.