Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (82.7%)
Entschieden: 02.10.2026, 12:30
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 03.10.2026, 00:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Trends
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsU.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
KalshiWill the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of GDP decline) by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if the change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September 2026, as first reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, is less than zero (i.e. the U.S. economy shed jobs on net in September).
- Resolves NO if that first-reported change is zero or positive.
- Only the first print counts.
- Later monthly revisions, the annual benchmark revision, and any subsequent restatement are irrelevant to this market.
- Source (named oracle): the BLS Employment Situation news release at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm — the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in Total nonfarm employment (Establishment Survey / Table B-1).
- The September 2026 release is scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET.
