Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.8%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 59 Minuten
Verzogert4. Sept. 26, 00:25 UTC2. Okt. 26, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 130,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 120,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed 140,000 in September 2026?
ForecastExADP employment change in Nov 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if the change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September 2026, as first reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, is less than zero (i.e. the U.S. economy shed jobs on net in September).
- Resolves NO if that first-reported change is zero or positive.
- Only the first print counts.
- Later monthly revisions, the annual benchmark revision, and any subsequent restatement are irrelevant to this market.
- Source (named oracle): the BLS Employment Situation news release at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm — the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in Total nonfarm employment (Establishment Survey / Table B-1).
- The September 2026 release is scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Offene Märkte
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 125.675,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47.449,2 €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 17.409,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 17.409,9 €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 15.972,5 €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
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- How low will the S&P get this year?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026? entschieden?
- Will U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026? soll am 2. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will U.S. nonfarm payroll employment decline in September 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September 2026, as first reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, is less than zero (i.e. the U.S. economy shed jobs on net in September).