Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Pause–Pause–Pause 64.7%-7.0ptFührend unter 9 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
81 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
12.828,2 €
Liquidität
70.281,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+11.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
29. Apr. 26, 23:5616. Sept. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 138.609,1 €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed Decision in December?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
- Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)?
- Polymarket bewertet Pause–Pause–Pause mit 65% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) entschieden?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) soll am 16. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Fed decisions (Jun-Sep) abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.