KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitHike >25bps 3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1500,8 €
Liquidität
232.710 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
29. Sept. 25, 14:0016. Sept. 26, 17:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Hike >25bps3%
Plattformen vergleichen· Hike 25bps
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt93% Übereinstimmung · auto | Hoch | 54% | — | 37.798,6 € | 466.679,2 € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 49% | — | 1500,8 € | 232.710 € | vor 23 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Fed Decision in September?
1Mon
54%
41%
4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen3,8 Mio. €
24h-Volumen37.798,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$2.6k41.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthtellervor 18 Std.
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthtellervor 18 Std.$1.5k97.0%KALSHIHike >25bps — Nogestern
KALSHIHike >25bps — Nogestern$1.1k53.2%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahvorgestern
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahvorgestern$2.0k44.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaulvor 5 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaulvor 5 Tagen$2.1k96.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefungvor 9 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefungvor 9 Tagen$3.0k61.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRiskvor 10 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRiskvor 10 Tagen$1.8k38.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgilvor 12 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgilvor 12 Tagen$1.1k59.8%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970vor 17 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970vor 17 TagenVolumentrend
$1.7k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371.647,9 €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
6,4 €Fed maintains rate: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jan 2028?
0 €Cut >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.