KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 90%
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
281,1 €
Liquidität
9300,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
19. Aug. 26, 03:30 UTC4. Juni 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiWill September 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Resolution uses annual average employment in Arizona for NAICS 3344 - Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing, as reported by BLS QCEW.
- The 24,431-employee baseline is fixed to the published 2025 value at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike.
- QCEW publishes detailed industries for every state and annual-average files once the full year is available.
- For reference, the complete 2025 annual QCEW data became available with the fourth-quarter release on June 2, 2026.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 802.561,8 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 736.478,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? soll am 4. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.