Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 94%
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet2. Dez. 25, 02:29 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves to yes if the current military government still controls the capital of Naypyidaw on Dec. 31, 2026.
- Resolves to no if they lose control of the capital to another faction.
- Resolves to no if they hold elections in 2026 that are deemed free and fair by international observers and/or the mainstream Western media AND the elected positions hold substantive power.
- If Myanmar has a limited democracy like before the 2021 coup, the question resolve to no.
