Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.9%
Prognostiker
37
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet2. Mai 24, 19:17 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Drake be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be found personally guilty of a crime in the United States before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Mr. Beast become Time Magazine person of the year before the Year 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of a felony in a US court
Manifold MarketsSPLC found guilty in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRegeln
Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.
- Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a misdemeanor will be considered a crime for resolution purposes.
- However, an infraction may not count.
