Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 57.5%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet1. Mai 26, 23:29 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Real GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the official annual real GDP growth rate for Mexico in the calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.4% or higher.
- It resolves to "No" otherwise.
- The primary source for resolution will be the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) via their official press releases or the Banco de México (Banxico).
- Specifically, the market will resolve based on the final annual growth figure for 2026 as reported in early 2027.
- If preliminary data is used, the market will resolve once the annual growth estimate is finalized by these institutions.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 97,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,9 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 702.623,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 89.288,2 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+7.0pt73%
- September Meeting+10.5pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43.053,5 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 400.144,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 34.289 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.0pt44.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+7.0pt28.3%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 58% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria