Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 94.3%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 15:23 UTC31. Dez. 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ingria exist as an independent state by 2033?
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FutuurEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2035, the Principality of Liechtenstein exists as an independent, sovereign state.
- The market will resolve to NO if, by December 31, 2035, Liechtenstein has ceased to exist as an independent nation—for example, if it has been annexed, has voluntarily merged with another country (such as Switzerland or Austria), or has otherwise lost its status as a sovereign state.
- Source of Verification: The primary source of truth will be the official list of United Nations Member States.
- If Liechtenstein is listed as an active, independent member state on this list (or a direct successor official UN list), the market resolves to YES.
- If the UN member state registry is unavailable or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on international diplomatic consensus, referencing official statements from the Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs or the European Union.
