Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet27. Aug. 26, 13:49 UTC31. Dez. 49, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
Leopold Archenbrennar, author of Situational Awareness, claims to want to "buy galaxies". will he publicly own a galaxy before 2050? Note that this does not require physical contact with said galaxy before 2050, merely legal ageeement.
- No I will not elaborate on what legal agreement means, we will know it when we see it
- Update 2026-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Ownership from a human perspective is sufficient for resolution (even without material enforcement), conditional on there being no extraterrestrial opposition.