Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.8%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet28. Dez. 25, 17:31 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Israel recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWho will recognize Palestine before 2027?
KalshiWill Syria recognize Israel by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Counts only if it is not recognized by any other UN full member nation.
- In 2025 they recognized Somaliland
- Resolves YES if the Bay Area ceases to exist before close.
- Resolves NO if New York ceases to exist before close.
- Resolves N/A if AGI comes next Friday the 13, and resolves 67% if I hear someone except @JeromeHPowell say 67 within 2 hours of creating this market.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Israel recognize some other micronation again in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Counts only if it is not recognized by any other UN full member nation.