KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNew Zealand 13.4%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
8,8 €
Liquidität
29.711,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.1% / 9.8%
Spread
6.7 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
4. Dez. 25, 15:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Finland7%
Plattformen vergleichen· Italy
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 15% | 0pt | 164,4 € | 64.132,5 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 14% | -1pt | 8,8 € | 29.711,3 € | vor 17 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
1.0 pts5Mon
-1.5pt19.6%
-1.0pt14%
-4.5pt12.2%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
57 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen661.654,2 €
24h-Volumen164,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.
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If Italy recognizes Palestine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Official diplomatic recognition may include, but is not limited to:
- - A formal announcement by the recognizing country that it recognizes the recognized country as a sovereign state - Establishment of diplomatic relations at the ambassadorial level - Opening of an embassy or diplomatic mission (not just consulates) - Signing of a joint communiqué establishing diplomatic relations - An official state visit by the head of state/government acknowledging sovereignty - A formal letter of recognition from the head of state/government or foreign minister
- The following do **NOT** constitute recognition:
- - Trade relations or commercial agreements alone - Consular relations without diplomatic relations - Participation in the same international conference - Humanitarian assistance or aid - Cultural or educational exchanges - Recognition by subnational entities (states, provinces, cities) - Statements of "support" without formal recognition - De facto cooperation without formal recognition - Recognition conditional on future events that have not occurred - Parliamentary resolutions without executive action
- **For clarity:** recognition must be of the recognized country as a sovereign state, not merely acknowledgment of a government in charge.