Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet3. Jan. 23, 19:17 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran use Nuclear weapons?
Manifold MarketsHouthi military action against Israel by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
It will be resolved YES if a reliable source reports that Iran has fired a nuclear weapon at Israel (it doesn't matter where the launch was and it doesn't matter if the missile is intercepted on his way).
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 290.218,2 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 129.087,6 €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 18. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: It will be resolved YES if a reliable source reports that Iran has fired a nuclear weapon at Israel (it doesn't matter where the launch was and it doesn't matter if the missile is intercepted on his way).