Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolitik5TManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 63%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 18:40 UTC17. Sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsHouthis successfully target shipping by which date?
PolymarketFree flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by September 18, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, the Iranian government or an authorized Iranian state body publicly unveils a new specific shipping corridor through the Strait of Hormuz, providing sufficiently concrete routing or operational details for it to constitute more than a statement of intent.
- A qualifying announcement may come from the Iranian government, Supreme National Security Council, an authorized maritime or ports authority, or another official state body.
- Statements merely saying that Iran plans, intends, or expects to announce a new corridor do not qualify.
- Publication of an official map, defined route, coordinates, operational rules, or another clear description of the new corridor qualifies as YES.
- The market resolves NO if no such official announcement has occurred by the deadline.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-2.6pt8%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 548.104,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+4.0pt23%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 207.028,5 €
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+11.5pt61%
- September 30+18.0pt48%
- September 21+19.5pt40%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his remarks to U.S. Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders?
- Hormuz+94.0pt99%
- Fake News+77.0pt99%
- Russia / Russian+93.0pt99%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.1pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 63% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? entschieden?
- Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? soll am 17. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria