Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
Middle EastGeopolitikOne-Off6MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet5. Apr. 26, 22:29 UTC5. Apr. 27, 22:27 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, 1 month after the Strait of Hormuz is opened to typical amounts of traffic (>50% of traffic prior to the closure), there is a public agreement between Iran and the relevant international parties (e.g., the U.S. or a UN-backed coalition) that explicitly includes both of the following conditions:
- Substantial sanctions relief: A verifiable, significant easing of economic sanctions currently imposed on Iran by major international powers (not merely minor exemptions or renewals).
- Tolls on ships: The formal establishment of a mechanism allowing Iran to legally levy tolls or fees on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
- The market resolves to NO if no such agreement is reached by the date specified, or if an agreement is reached that does not include both provisions.
- Official government press releases, international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP, Bloomberg), and verified transcripts of diplomatic agreements will be used to determine the outcome.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? entschieden?
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? soll am 5. April 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria